Let the Battles Commence

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JG

Our undercover man inside the game

about 1 year ago

A feast of international rugby awaits this weekend. While the focus will be on Auckland, Brisbane and Durban there will be also be much interest in the games featuring Canada and USA, Argentina and Italy and the Pacific Nations Cup match between Fiji and Samoa. Ireland has had a disappointing year and will view their series in New Zealand as an opportunity to salvage something from the season. Wales will be out to prove that it is different this time and that their world cup success was no flash in the pan. England meanwhile will want to confirm that they are back on track after their shambolic world cup and Stuart Lancaster will look to prove his doubters wrong.

New Zealand v Ireland

Ireland will have the burden of history on their shoulders as they seek their first win against the All Blacks on Saturday. The hosts can look vulnerable in their first match of the season but with a new coaching team in place will be very focused on getting off to a good start. The Irish will be keen to replicate the intensity of their performance against the Wallabies in the world cup but with only eight of that starting lineup on the field at kick-off on Saturday it will be a tough challenge.

Five new caps will start the game with Aaron Smith, Brodie Retallick and Julian Savea in black and Simon Zebo and Declan Fitzpatrick debuting for Ireland. There will be many interesting head to head encounters but the battle of the loose forwards will be intriguing, most particularly Richie McCaw against Sean O’Brien. Jamie Heaslip will be looking to make up for the misdemeanor that saw him sent off against the All Blacks in New Plymouth in 2010. Kieran Read will play with a broken nose and Dan Carter has still not completely recovered from the groin injury that ruled him out in the pool stages of the world cup. Even not fully fit both Read and Carter are a daunting prospect for opponents.

Prolific tweeter Nigel Owens will officiate at Eden Park and it is hoped that he will allow the game to flow as he did when taking charge of the Heineken Cup Final. The All Blacks are virtually unbackable favourites but in a two horse race anything is possible. It seems unlikely that the course of history will be changed though the non-Kiwi rugby world would celebrate as one were Brian O’Driscoll’s team to prevail.

Australia v Wales

Wales haven’t beaten Australia down under since 1969 but will fancy their chances in Brisbane on Saturday. The Wallabies will have to regroup quickly after the loss to Scotland and will sorely miss the experience of James Horwill, Kurtley Beale, James O’Connor and Quade Cooper. Robbie Deans continues to be under pressure and has made nine changes to the team beaten by Scotland. Deans 60% winning record as coach of the Wallabies would be unacceptable in his homeland and he will be hoping that rain forecast for Brisbane on Saturday night holds off.

Wales are the most settled of the northern hemisphere teams and will be looking to build on the Grand Slam success of a few months ago. While Jamie Roberts will be missed in the midfield for Wales, Scott Williams will be a more than capable deputy. Sam Warburton will be welcomed back after an eleven week break and his openside tussle with David Pocock is a mouth watering prospect. Warburton has a wise head on his young shoulders and is a virtual certainty to lead the Lions down under next year. His leadership will be put to the test again on Saturday and he will be keen to claim a southern hemisphere scalp.

The Aussies have won the last four encounters between the teams and will go into the game as favourites. Wales have won their last six games but their last two defeats were both against Australia. With Craig Joubert in charge and if the weather permits it could be a fast and furious game. The vastly experienced Welsh front row will be a real test for the Wallabies and may prove too strong on the night. Wales have a great chance to build on their world cup and six nations success and prove that they will be real contenders in 2015.

South Africa v England

This game provides the most intriguing prospect with new coaches and new caps in both camps endeavouring to make their mark as well as several fascinating head to head encounters. England may have their best opportunity of beating the Springboks on Saturday as the game takes place at sea level in Durban. Removing the challenge of playing at altitude favours England as does the Springboks being without the likes of Victor Matfield, Bakkies Botha, Fourie du Preez, Schalk Burger and Jaque Fourie.

Make no mistake about it this is a Springbok team very much in transition. There is excitement about locks Juandre Kruger and Eben Elzebeth winning their first caps and clearly they have some big boots to fill. New coach Heyneke Meyer is likely to continue the style of play which his successful Bulls team developed when he was in charge in Pretoria. The game plan may be somewhat less than exciting but to traditionalists it may result in a cracking forward battle.

England coach Stuart Lancaster will find a test series in South Africa a different physical challenge to that which his team faced in the Six Nations. He has made some positive statements since being appointed head coach and now the focus will revert to what happens on the field. New caps Joe Mailer and Tom Johnson will be welcomed to international rugby by the ferocious challenge of the Springboks pack but should both be up to the challenge.

Dan Cole’s battle against the Beast and Brad Barritt’s head to head with former Sharks teammate Frans Steyn will be fascinating contests. However, the encounter between Bismarck du Plessis and Dylan Hartley is sure to provide fireworks and could be the most enthralling. England may be better prepared having rested last weekend while many of the Springboks were involved in two tough Super XV derbies.

Steve Walsh will take charge of the game and while he hasn’t always been popular with England or Lions supporters he has matured in recent years. This game will provide an opportunity for Walsh to demonstrate why he is the leading referee in Australia and New Zealand. England is the more settled of the two teams and may do enough to sneak a win in Durban on Saturday. If they don’t it will only get more difficult as the Springboks get into their stride and they head to altitude for the second test in Johannesburg next week.

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Posted under News & Opinions

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James Marshall

about 1 year ago

All Blacks easily, Oz to just sneak it, Boks to make it 3 out 3 of 3 for SH.

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vincent De Gennaro

about 1 year ago

Oz probably very motivated now, but you have to question the wisdom of a test 4 days before the first test!!! Wales front row to dominate, creating the platform, narrow win for Wales. Ireland MUST be feeling they have a small chance, world cup blues for AB’s? they are so far the favourites that I fancy one of those backs to the wall Irish performances that surprises everyone. Ah the England all stars…..tough one to call, probably just go with home advantage as both teams fresh faced…England flattered themselves in 6 Nations, they probably have the belief, but the Boks are ferocious at home…narrow Boks win…now where are the bookies…

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Vance Broad

about 1 year ago

Well done Scotland – even if the weather did help a lot. Australia will not underestimate Wales this Saturday. Interestingly I was listening to BBC Radio 4 this morning and John Wilson sounding off about the importance of rhythm to top athletes. He mentioned that before taking the field, the entire Brazilian team listen to Latino music and ‘keep the rhythm’ going as a team throughout the playing of their game. I watched Norway play England last week and I can appreciate what Wilson is trying to say. Most of the best tries that I have witnessed in the oval ball game have come from rhythmic play - poetry really. I just hope the Welsh team all gather round and listen to an hour of Bob Marley together before Saturday’s game as I would love to see some Welsh poetry against Australia!

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John Comyn

about 1 year ago

Oz sides have been poor all S15. Their play makers are all out injured. The pack are powder puff’s and Pocock has been roped in by referees. They are venerable and if Wales play to their potential they could end up hammering the Wallabies. Ireland don’t have a prayer & IMO the AB’s will run away with it in the last 20.

As a Bok supporter I would love to see them give England a rugby lesson. It’s not going to happen! 5 days is simply not enough time to get this side to gel against a settled combination. The Bok pack are going to try to intimidate the Englishmen by winning the collisions. The 1st 20 will be brutal but if England can weather the storm they can win this in the Boks own backyard. They showed us in the 6 nations they are dangerous out wide and can score tries. Jean De Villiers has not got the defensive game he should have at 13 and I suspect Tuilagi is going to steamroll JDV unless Meyer has the good sense to to move Steyn to 2nd centre when the Boks are defending. England this time but not again this year.

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S Spooony

about 1 year ago

Now lets see what do have Wales have in terms of tactics on Australia. Australia can analyze Wales completely from all their 6 Nation matches. What do Wales have? A Aussie side filled with players that had a bye the weekend played in a pool of water. Not much the Aussies gave the Welsh to work with.

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S Spooony

about 1 year ago

Heynecke Meyer faxes his game plan to the opposition with a footnote underneath it. “Try and stop us”.

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Manuka Wood

about 1 year ago

Vanc: agree. Harmony.

Won’t see much of that from the Bok… except perhaps in the gang sholder tackles. And gouging both eyes in unity. Just kidding… hopefully.

James: still struggling with your geography. It’s currently 1-0 to N.Hem and there are more than 3 SvN Hem games about to be played. At best you could be 4-1 by end of week but Scotland have saved the 0. Go Ireland England Italy. Sorry Wales but go Oz. can’t have Wales winning in Oz ahead of Lions tour in Oz. Actually can’t have Wales winning ever.

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James Marshall

about 1 year ago

5 – 1. Tonga beat Japan and Argentina beat Italy. Oh well not that it matters it just confirms what we already knew. Two more weeks of this to go and then we can get back to the serious business of the Super 15.

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Manuka Wood

about 1 year ago

Agh yes but Slovenia whilst NHem is a long way south from Denmark and we should consider it a SHem loss. Well didn’t show up and forefieted a 25-0 loss… So let’s call it 5-2 with the NHem Giants Scotland unbeaten and building up a great record vs the quatroNations with only ABs scalp to go. Given that they’ve cruised past the other 3 yet lost to all NHem teams think we can say Northern Hem are right up there ahead of SHem. This argument is bullet proof, don’t even try to undermine it. I’ll not get drawn into that.

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jack_squirek

about 1 year ago

@James. Back to your old patronising ways I see James! Oh well at least you will have learned a bit about some of the NH players. Some of Ireland’s did well despite being outgunned out wide – Best and Healy and Donncha Ryan all performed. But I still think the NH will grab a Test or two via England or Wales before the series end. England had a real chance against SA but played naively in the third quarter.

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James Marshall

about 1 year ago

Had to be done Jack. Had to be done:) Ireland were very good at the breakdown – ABs wont be happy with all the turnover ball – and scrummed ok. With the weather expected it in Chch this weekend it might be closer on the scoreboard.

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Vance Broad

about 1 year ago

If Australia can explain away their second recent defeat against Scotland as being not used to playing in bad weather then I guess Wales and all Northern Hemisphere sides for that matter can cite jet lag as a factor in their recent matches. Excuses and previous matches aside, the next tests will be more telling in establishing more accurate rankings.

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S Spooony

about 1 year ago

A ten-hour flight from Europe to Southern Africa does not cause jet lag plus England were in the country for a week. People in good shape like Rugby players do not get affected by jetlag so badly. plus it lasts only for 3 to 5 days if your badly out of shap so…… nice try